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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://arks.princeton.edu/ark:/88435/dsp01nk322g76w
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dc.contributor.advisorCheridito, Patrick-
dc.contributor.authorGandotra, Raghav-
dc.date.accessioned2016-06-24T13:56:32Z-
dc.date.available2016-06-24T13:56:32Z-
dc.date.created2016-04-12-
dc.date.issued2016-06-24-
dc.identifier.urihttp://arks.princeton.edu/ark:/88435/dsp01nk322g76w-
dc.description.abstractThis thesis explores the dynamics of electricity price series and constructs a Marko- vian regime-switching model that can appropriately capture electricity price fluctuations. The research begins with fitting a volatility model to the data and recognizing its drawbacks, moving to an appropriate Markovian regime-switching model that can better account for the peculiar behaviour of electricity prices, in particular, their spikiness. The thesis concludes by using the Markovian regime- switching framework constructed to develop a heuristic for predicting spikes in electricity prices and discusses the applicability of this heuristic for using financial instruments to hedge against price spikes.en_US
dc.format.extent85 pages*
dc.language.isoen_USen_US
dc.titleEXPLORING ELECTRICITY PRICE DYNAMICS: FITTING A MARKOVIAN REGIME-SWITCHING GARCH(1,1) MODELen_US
dc.typePrinceton University Senior Theses-
pu.date.classyear2016en_US
pu.departmentOperations Research and Financial Engineeringen_US
pu.pdf.coverpageSeniorThesisCoverPage-
Appears in Collections:Operations Research and Financial Engineering, 2000-2020

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